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Description:
Manuel Ammann, Axel H. Kind, Christian Wilde
We investigate the pricing performance of three convertible bond pricing models on the French convertible bond market using daily market prices. We examine a component model separating the convertible bond into a bond and option component, a method based on the Margrabe model for pricing exchange options, and a binomial-tree model with exogenous credit risk. All three models are found to deliver theoretical values for the analyzed convertible bonds that tend to be higher than the observed market prices. The prices obtained by the binomial-tree model are nearest to market prices and the mispricing is no longer statistically significant for the majority of bonds in our sample. For all models, the difference between market and model prices is greater for out-of-the money convertibles than for at- or in-the-money convertibles.